O‘ZBEKISTONDA DEMOGRAFIK JARAYONLARNI STATISTIK PROGNOZLASH VA MONITORING TIZIMINI TAKOMILLASHTIRISH
Siroj Zarina Rustambekovna
Toshkend davlat iqtisodiyot universiteti doktoranti
Toshkent Amaliy fanlar universiteti “Bank va moliya”
kafedrasi dotsenti. i.f.f.d., (PhD)
E-mail: zarina36.84@gmail.com
Orcid: 0009-0007-7266-3515
Annotatsiya. Maqolada O‘zbekistonda demografik jarayonlarni statistik prognozlash va monitoring tizimini takomillashtirish masalalari tadqiq etilgan. Aholi soni, tug‘ilish, o‘lim, tabiiy o‘sish va migratsiya ko‘rsatkichlarining dinamikasi tahlil qilinib, ularni muntazam statistik kuzatish va prognozlashning ilmiy-uslubiy jihatlari yoritilgan. Shuningdek, zamonaviy raqamli texnologiyalar asosida demografik ma’lumotlarni shakllantirish, qayta ishlash va monitoring qilish imkoniyatlari ko‘rib chiqilgan. Tadqiqot natijalari asosida demografik jarayonlarni statistik baholash va prognozlash samaradorligini oshirishga qaratilgan takliflar ishlab chiqilgan.
Kalit so‘zlar: demografik jarayonlar, aholi soni, statistik prognozlash, demografik monitoring, tug‘ilish, o‘lim, tabiiy o‘sish, migratsiya, statistik ma’lumotlar, raqamli texnologiyalar.
СОВЕРШЕНСТВОВАНИЕ СИСТЕМЫ СТАТИСТИЧЕСКОГО ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ И МОНИТОРИНГА ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКИХ ПРОЦЕССОВ В УЗБЕКИСТАНЕ
Сирож Зарина Рустамбековна
Докторант Ташкентского государственного
экономического университета
Доцент кафедры «Банковское дело и финансы»
Ташкентского университета прикладных наук, PhD
E–mail: zarina36.84@gmail.com
Orcid: 0009-0007-7266-3515
Аннотация. В статье исследованы вопросы совершенствования системы статистического прогнозирования и мониторинга демографических процессов в Узбекистане. Проанализирована динамика численности населения, рождаемости, смертности, естественного прироста и миграции, а также рассмотрены научно-методические аспекты их систематического статистического наблюдения и прогнозирования. Особое внимание уделено возможностям формирования, обработки и мониторинга демографических данных на основе современных цифровых технологий. По результатам исследования разработаны предложения, направленные на повышение эффективности статистической оценки и прогнозирования демографических процессов.
Ключевые слова: демографические процессы, численность населения, статистическое прогнозирование, демографический мониторинг, рождаемость, смертность, естественный прирост, миграция, статистические данные, цифровые технологии.
IMPROVING THE SYSTEM OF STATISTICAL FORECASTING AND MONITORING OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN UZBEKISTAN
Siroj Zarina Rustambekovna
Doctoral Researcher at Tashkent State University of Economics
Associate Professor of the Department of
“Banking and Finance” at
Tashkent University of Applied Sciences, PhD
E-mail: zarina36.84@gmail.com
Orcid: 0009-0007-7266-3515
Abstract. The article examines the issues of improving the system of statistical forecasting and monitoring of demographic processes in Uzbekistan. The dynamics of population size, birth rate, mortality, natural population growth, and migration are analyzed, with particular attention paid to the scientific and methodological aspects of their systematic statistical observation and forecasting. The study also considers the potential of modern digital technologies for the collection, processing, and monitoring of demographic data. Based on the research findings, recommendations are developed to improve the effectiveness of statistical assessment and forecasting of demographic processes.
Keywords: demographic processes, population size, statistical forecasting, demographic monitoring, birth rate, mortality, natural population growth, migration, statistical data, digital technologies.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22830127
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